Description

This analysis provides a forecast of JASMY prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-22 0.017672 0.022301 0.028469 0.037588 0.051295 0.072206 0.109031
2024-12-29 0.012374 0.017196 0.024638 0.037899 0.063479 0.118232 0.279365
2025-01-05 0.009481 0.013881 0.021257 0.035978 0.069575 0.163347 0.628800
2025-01-12 0.007840 0.011927 0.019216 0.035132 0.077075 0.228648 1.723393
2025-01-19 0.007041 0.011131 0.018906 0.037610 0.095872 0.394219 14.545676
2025-01-26 0.006569 0.010779 0.019304 0.041987 0.127447 0.838667 NaN
2025-02-02 0.006171 0.010462 0.019656 0.046558 0.169989 2.165263 NaN
2025-02-09 0.005602 0.009688 0.018756 0.046957 0.195455 4.712652 NaN
2025-02-16 0.005139 0.009048 0.017999 0.047474 0.225527 13.468718 NaN
2025-02-23 0.004731 0.008454 0.017212 0.047512 0.255405 59.835196 NaN
2025-03-02 0.004276 0.007694 0.015841 0.044707 0.256014 195.834348 NaN
2025-03-09 0.003945 0.007165 0.014971 0.043550 0.272809 23561.729048 NaN
2025-03-16 0.003676 0.006785 0.014553 0.044707 0.332810 NaN NaN
2025-03-23 0.003410 0.006383 0.014002 0.045146 0.397091 NaN NaN
2025-03-30 0.003106 0.005849 0.012959 0.042707 0.406893 NaN NaN
2025-04-06 0.002876 0.005461 0.012263 0.041636 0.444841 NaN NaN
2025-04-13 0.002770 0.005348 0.012357 0.044779 0.629270 NaN NaN
2025-04-20 0.002712 0.005345 0.012792 0.050381 1.067790 NaN NaN
2025-04-27 0.002651 0.005324 0.013170 0.056293 1.957852 NaN NaN
2025-05-04 0.002515 0.005094 0.012790 0.056812 2.603898 NaN NaN
2025-05-11 0.002394 0.004889 0.012456 0.057485 3.599571 NaN NaN
2025-05-18 0.002277 0.004681 0.012071 0.057534 4.859979 NaN NaN
2025-05-25 0.002129 0.004378 0.011295 0.053891 4.598094 NaN NaN